On July 20, 2026, contracting activity shows a high procurement pulse of 60/100, driven by intense demand for Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance systems with 1,468 events and Precision Guided Munitions with 1,382 events. This surge in hardware acquisition contrasts sharply with spending declines across engineering, cybersecurity, and AI sectors, which have dropped nearly 100% against baseline levels. The pattern suggests a strategic pivot toward immediate kinetic and surveillance capabilities amid 199 recorded conflict events, including 15 critical incidents.
2 procurement categories at HIGH demand. Conflict events driving active signals across ISR, PGM, AMMO.
Opportunity Categories by conflict demand signal
Spending Surge Indicators
Category Intelligence (spending + trend + conflict demand)
| Category | Spending | Trend | Demand | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Engineering & R&D
ENGINEERING · 22 qtrs
|
$134.4B | ▼ 99.1% DECLINING | LOW (83) Ranked #9 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 83.4 from 83 events. | Spending down -99.1% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
|
Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance
ISR · 22 qtrs
|
$128.3B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | HIGH (2707) Ranked #1 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 3819.6 from 2707 events. | Spending contracting despite high event demand (2707 events). Divergence suggests upcoming procurement activity. |
|
Precision Guided Munitions
PGM · 11 qtrs
|
$53.2B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | HIGH (2559) Ranked #2 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 3655.5 from 2559 events. | Spending contracting despite high event demand (2559 events). Divergence suggests upcoming procurement activity. |
|
Artificial Intelligence & ML
AI_ML · 33 qtrs
|
$26.0B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | LOW (181) Ranked #7 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 204.6 from 181 events. | Spending down -100.0% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
|
Cybersecurity & IT
CYBER · 11 qtrs
|
$22.4B | ▼ 99.2% DECLINING | LOW (181) Ranked #6 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 204.6 from 181 events. | Spending down -99.2% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
|
Logistics & Facilities
LOGISTICS · 11 qtrs
|
$20.7B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | MODERATE (1356) Ranked #5 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 1005.8 from 1356 events. | Moderate demand from 1356 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements. |
|
Ammunition & Ordnance
AMMO · 22 qtrs
|
$19.1B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | MODERATE (2559) Ranked #3 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 3655.5 from 2559 events. | Moderate demand from 2559 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements. |
|
Air Defense Systems
AIR_DEFENSE · 11 qtrs
|
$17.5B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | MODERATE (2559) Ranked #4 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 3655.5 from 2559 events. | Moderate demand from 2559 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements. |
|
Communications & C4ISR
COMMS · 11 qtrs
|
$7.2B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | LOW (148) Ranked #8 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 164.1 from 148 events. | Spending down -100.0% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
| Total | $428.8B | 9 categories · 2 high demand · 0 surging | ||
Conflict → Procurement Correlation
Awards Feed (DoD contracts $7.5M+)
| Title | Contractor | Amount | Agency | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELIVERY ORDER 0011 FOR 100EA 6000GALLON REFUELERS | ISOMETRICS INC | $40M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| SSC MCPNT CGACQ. BASE AWARD FOR MILCOMM & PNT ACQUISITION SUPPORT SERVICES. | OMNI CONSULTING SOLUTIONS, INC. | $10M | Federal Acquisition Service | LOGISTICS |
| P8A MISSION CONTROL AND DISPLAY SYSTEM MCDS | BAE SYSTEMS INFORMATION AND ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS INTEGRATION INC. | $8M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| IT OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE AT HILL AIR FORCE BASE HAFB UTAH | FED95 LLC | $11M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| BPA CALL ORDER EECU MAINSPARES KITS | MAINSTREAM ENGINEERING CORP | $10M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| MPTA 76 TESTING INFRASTRUCTURE MODERNIZATION | HUMAN RESOURCES RESEARCH ORGANIZATION (HUMRRO) | $14M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| READINESS REPORTING INNOVATION RRI STORMBRINGER TASK ORDER 01 | VIRTUALITICS INC | $8M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| CAPE SAN JUAN FY26 MISSION OPERATION PATHWAYS 26-2 OPERATION COSTS TSI-SJN26-20 | TOTE SERVICES, LLC | $11M | Maritime Administration | |
| BPA CALL ORDER EALS BASE | SEALITE USA, LLC | $13M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| DISASERVICESTO147QTCF26S0020 | GENERAL DYNAMICS INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, INC. | $11M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| BPA CALL ORDER EALS BASE | SEALITE USA, LLC | $8M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| FWPO FMS CASE GT-B-UOZ AIRCRAFT FOR GUATEMALAN MINISTRY OF DEFENSE | THRUSH AIRCRAFT, LLC | $12M | Departmental Offices | ISR |
| DO6 95EA LEVEL 1 AUVS | THE ARMORED GROUP LLC | $26M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| AUTHORITATIVE THEATER OBJECT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM SMALL BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARC | BLACK CAPE, INC. | $14M | Federal Acquisition Service | ENGINEERING |
| CYBER AUTOMATION SYSTEMS TECHNOLOGY AND LIFECYCLE ENTERPRISE NETWORK (CASTLE-NET | ACCENTURE FEDERAL SERVICES LLC | $180M | Federal Acquisition Service | CYBER |
| CONTRACT AWARD FOR FAR-FORWARD BIOLOGICAL SEQUENCING INCREMENT G (FFBS-G) | SCITECH SERVICES INC | $18M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| SITE WORK, DESIGN, FABRICATION, FREIGHT, INSTALLATION, LEASE AND SUBSEQUENT DEMO | TEYA SUPPORT SERVICES LLC | $22M | Departmental Offices | LOGISTICS |
| WRIGHT FY26 DRYDOCK ODI-WRT26-1006A $0.00 TASK ORDER FOR DRY DOCKING SOLICITATI | OCEAN DUCHESS, INC. | $8M | Maritime Administration | |
| CAPE TEXAS-TOTE SERVICES INCORPORTATED-TEXAS26-1006A-FISCAL YEAR 26 MAINTENANCE | TOTE SERVICES, LLC | $8M | Maritime Administration | |
| BRITTIN FISCAL YEAR (FY) 26 REPAIRS A THE PURPOSE OF THIS PROJECT IS TO ACCOMPLI | KEYSTONE SHIPPING SERVICES, INC. | $9M | Maritime Administration |
AMMO
Ammunition & OrdnanceModerate demand from 2559 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements.
Opportunities Feed (SAM.gov defense solicitations)
| Title ▲▼ | Dept | NAICS ▲▼ | Set-Aside ▲▼ | Deadline ▲▼ | Category ▲▼ | Status ▲▼ | Score ▲▼ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ | 10--PARTS KIT,SEAL REPL | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 8d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--PARTS KIT,SEAL REPL
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEAPON | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEAPON
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 19, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--BUFFER MECHANISM ASSEM | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 5d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--BUFFER MECHANISM ASSEM
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 27, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(5d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--HOUSING ASSY,FEEDER | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 5d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--HOUSING ASSY,FEEDER
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 27, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(5d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | RFQ For Duty Pistols for Mounted Patrol Inspectors | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
RFQ For Duty Pistols for Mounted Patrol Inspectors
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Texas
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | RFQ For Duty Pistols for Mounted Patrol Inspectors | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
RFQ For Duty Pistols for Mounted Patrol Inspectors
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Texas
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--LATCH | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 2d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--LATCH
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(2d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--MOUNT,MACHINE GUN | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 2d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--MOUNT,MACHINE GUN
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(2d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--MAGAZINE,CARTRIDGE | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 1d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--MAGAZINE,CARTRIDGE
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 23, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(1d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 25--CONTROL ASSEMBLY,TRANS | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 2d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
25--CONTROL ASSEMBLY,TRANS
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(2d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--CHUTE,AMMUNITION | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 50% |
|
Full Title
10--CHUTE,AMMUNITION
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--GUIDE,CARTRIDGE,SMALL | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--GUIDE,CARTRIDGE,SMALL
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--HOUSING,TRIGGER | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--HOUSING,TRIGGER
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M4 Rifle Scopes Optics and Mounts | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M4 Rifle Scopes Optics and Mounts
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
New York
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M4 Sound Suppressors | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M4 Sound Suppressors
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
New York
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 30--HOUSING,CLUTCH | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
30--HOUSING,CLUTCH
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M4 Rifle Scopes Optics and Mounts | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M4 Rifle Scopes Optics and Mounts
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
New York
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEAPON | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEAPON
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M82 Energetics | — | 332993 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M82 Energetics
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332993 — Ammunition Manufacturing
Location
Arkansas
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--END FITTING EXIT HE | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--END FITTING EXIT HE
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--BARREL SET,20 MM | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--BARREL SET,20 MM
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | AXON X26P Tasers and X26P Taser Batteries | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
AXON X26P Tasers and X26P Taser Batteries
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Alabama
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M4 Rifle and Parts (5.56x45mm NATO) | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M4 Rifle and Parts (5.56x45mm NATO)
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
West Virginia
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--SET,EXPANDABLE PART | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--SET,EXPANDABLE PART
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 53--COUPLING,CLAMP,GROOVED | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
53--COUPLING,CLAMP,GROOVED
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 08, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 53--RETAINER,ROD END LO | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
53--RETAINER,ROD END LO
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 14, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--COVER,GUN MOUNT | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--COVER,GUN MOUNT
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 14, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--GUN CABLE,GAU-17A | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--GUN CABLE,GAU-17A
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 09, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | Modular Optical Systems | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
Modular Optical Systems
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Virginia
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEA | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEA
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 06, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||