On July 20, 2026, contracting activity shows a high procurement pulse of 60/100, driven by intense demand for Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance systems with 1,468 events and Precision Guided Munitions with 1,382 events. This surge in hardware acquisition contrasts sharply with spending declines across engineering, cybersecurity, and AI sectors, which have dropped nearly 100% against baseline levels. The pattern suggests a strategic pivot toward immediate kinetic and surveillance capabilities amid 199 recorded conflict events, including 15 critical incidents.
2 procurement categories at HIGH demand. Conflict events driving active signals across ISR, PGM, AMMO.
Opportunity Categories by conflict demand signal
Spending Surge Indicators
Category Intelligence (spending + trend + conflict demand)
| Category | Spending | Trend | Demand | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Engineering & R&D
ENGINEERING · 22 qtrs
|
$134.4B | ▼ 99.1% DECLINING | LOW (42) Ranked #9 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 42.4 from 42 events. | Spending down -99.1% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
|
Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance
ISR · 22 qtrs
|
$128.3B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | HIGH (1474) Ranked #1 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 2087.6 from 1474 events. | Spending contracting despite high event demand (1474 events). Divergence suggests upcoming procurement activity. |
|
Precision Guided Munitions
PGM · 11 qtrs
|
$53.2B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | HIGH (1387) Ranked #2 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 1990.6 from 1387 events. | Spending contracting despite high event demand (1387 events). Divergence suggests upcoming procurement activity. |
|
Artificial Intelligence & ML
AI_ML · 33 qtrs
|
$26.0B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | LOW (104) Ranked #7 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 118.0 from 104 events. | Spending down -100.0% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
|
Cybersecurity & IT
CYBER · 11 qtrs
|
$22.4B | ▼ 99.2% DECLINING | LOW (104) Ranked #6 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 118.0 from 104 events. | Spending down -99.2% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
|
Logistics & Facilities
LOGISTICS · 11 qtrs
|
$20.7B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | MODERATE (706) Ranked #5 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 527.5 from 706 events. | Moderate demand from 706 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements. |
|
Ammunition & Ordnance
AMMO · 22 qtrs
|
$19.1B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | MODERATE (1387) Ranked #3 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 1990.6 from 1387 events. | Moderate demand from 1387 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements. |
|
Air Defense Systems
AIR_DEFENSE · 11 qtrs
|
$17.5B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | MODERATE (1387) Ranked #4 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 1990.6 from 1387 events. | Moderate demand from 1387 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements. |
|
Communications & C4ISR
COMMS · 11 qtrs
|
$7.2B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | LOW (87) Ranked #8 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 97.0 from 87 events. | Spending down -100.0% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
| Total | $428.8B | 9 categories · 2 high demand · 0 surging | ||
Conflict → Procurement Correlation
Awards Feed (DoD contracts $7.5M+)
| Title | Contractor | Amount | Agency | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P8A MISSION CONTROL AND DISPLAY SYSTEM MCDS | BAE SYSTEMS INFORMATION AND ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS INTEGRATION INC. | $8M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| CONTRACT AWARD FOR FAR-FORWARD BIOLOGICAL SEQUENCING INCREMENT G (FFBS-G) | SCITECH SERVICES INC | $18M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| SITE WORK, DESIGN, FABRICATION, FREIGHT, INSTALLATION, LEASE AND SUBSEQUENT DEMO | TEYA SUPPORT SERVICES LLC | $22M | Departmental Offices | LOGISTICS |
| STRATEGIC READINESS - PRISM TASK ORDER - IN SUPPORT OF OUSW-PR | DELOITTE CONSULTING LLP | $16M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| AFRL SHADOW RAPTOR | BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON INC | $152M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| FLIGHT ATTENDANT FUSELAGE TRAINER FA FUT | J.F. TAYLOR, INC. | $8M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| THE ARNG CSG AND USARC REQUIRES A BRIDGE ORDER FOR CONTRACTOR SUPPORT TO PROVIDE | ASM RESEARCH, LLC | $17M | Departmental Offices | |
| USAF/OSI TASK ORDER-001 | HUMANIT SOLUTIONS LLC | $13M | Departmental Offices | |
| DMSP DC3GS ENGINEERING SUSTAINMENT SERVICES | PERATON TECHNOLOGY SERVICES INC. | $30M | Federal Acquisition Service | ENGINEERING |
| GUARD ENTERPRISE CYBER OPERATIONS SUPPORT ORIGINAL AWARD. | GENERAL DYNAMICS INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, INC. | $223M | Federal Acquisition Service | CYBER |
| SUSTAINMENT ENGINEERING MAINTENANCE SURVEY AND INSTALL IONOSPHERIC GROUND SENSO | NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION | $17M | Federal Acquisition Service | AMMO |
AMMO
Ammunition & OrdnanceModerate demand from 1387 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements.
Opportunities Feed (SAM.gov defense solicitations)
| Title ▲▼ | Dept | NAICS ▲▼ | Set-Aside ▲▼ | Deadline ▲▼ | Category ▲▼ | Status ▲▼ | Score ▲▼ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ | UNLOAD DRIVE ASSEMB | — | 332994 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
UNLOAD DRIVE ASSEMB
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | MOTOR,BRAKE,TRAIN | — | 332994 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
MOTOR,BRAKE,TRAIN
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | DISTRIBUTION UNIT | — | 332994 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
DISTRIBUTION UNIT
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--BIPOD,RIFLE | — | 332994 | Full & Open | 5d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--BIPOD,RIFLE
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
July 27, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(5d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | BRAND NAME SOLE SOURCE – DE-LINKER AND CHUTE ASSY | — | 332994 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
BRAND NAME SOLE SOURCE – DE-LINKER AND CHUTE ASSY
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Indiana
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | FMS REPAIR REQUIREMENT FOR THE COUNTRY OF CZECH REPUBLIC NSN: 1005-01- | — | 332994 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
FMS REPAIR REQUIREMENT FOR THE COUNTRY OF CZECH REPUBLIC NSN: 1005-01-523-8128 I P/N: 10055301
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | New Generation Ammunition & Munitions Equipment (NGAME) for MMHE | — | 332993 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 50% |
|
Full Title
New Generation Ammunition & Munitions Equipment (NGAME) for MMHE
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332993 — Ammunition Manufacturing
Location
Georgia
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | EXTENSION SET, GUN | — | 332994 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
EXTENSION SET, GUN
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M82 Energetics | — | 332993 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M82 Energetics
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332993 — Ammunition Manufacturing
Location
Arkansas
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--TANK,AIR,HIGH PRESSURE | — | 332994 | Full & Open | 5d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--TANK,AIR,HIGH PRESSURE
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
July 27, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(5d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | FEEDER ASSEMBLY | — | 332994 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
FEEDER ASSEMBLY
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--SIGHT,GRENADE LAUNCHER | — | 332994 | Full & Open | 7d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--SIGHT,GRENADE LAUNCHER
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
July 29, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(7d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--TIP,BREECH BOLT | — | 332994 | Full & Open | 5d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--TIP,BREECH BOLT
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
July 27, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(5d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | CONTROL ASSEMBLY,AC | — | 332994 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
CONTROL ASSEMBLY,AC
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--SHAFT,FEEDER,AMMUNITIO | — | 332994 | Full & Open | 5d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--SHAFT,FEEDER,AMMUNITIO
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
July 27, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(5d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | DRUM,AMMUNITION,MAC | — | 332994 | Full & Open | — | AMMO | NEW | 50% |
|
Full Title
DRUM,AMMUNITION,MAC
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--TRIGGER ASSEMBLY | — | 332994 | Full & Open | 6d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--TRIGGER ASSEMBLY
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Full & Open Competition
Response Deadline
July 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(6d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
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