On July 20, 2026, contracting activity shows a high procurement pulse of 60/100, driven by intense demand for Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance systems with 1,468 events and Precision Guided Munitions with 1,382 events. This surge in hardware acquisition contrasts sharply with spending declines across engineering, cybersecurity, and AI sectors, which have dropped nearly 100% against baseline levels. The pattern suggests a strategic pivot toward immediate kinetic and surveillance capabilities amid 199 recorded conflict events, including 15 critical incidents.
2 procurement categories at HIGH demand. Conflict events driving active signals across ISR, PGM, AMMO.
Opportunity Categories by conflict demand signal
Spending Surge Indicators
Category Intelligence (spending + trend + conflict demand)
| Category | Spending | Trend | Demand | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Engineering & R&D
ENGINEERING · 22 qtrs
|
$134.4B | ▼ 99.1% DECLINING | LOW (42) Ranked #9 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 42.4 from 42 events. | Spending down -99.1% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
|
Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance
ISR · 22 qtrs
|
$128.3B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | HIGH (1474) Ranked #1 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 2087.6 from 1474 events. | Spending contracting despite high event demand (1474 events). Divergence suggests upcoming procurement activity. |
|
Precision Guided Munitions
PGM · 11 qtrs
|
$53.2B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | HIGH (1387) Ranked #2 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 1990.6 from 1387 events. | Spending contracting despite high event demand (1387 events). Divergence suggests upcoming procurement activity. |
|
Artificial Intelligence & ML
AI_ML · 33 qtrs
|
$26.0B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | LOW (104) Ranked #7 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 118.0 from 104 events. | Spending down -100.0% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
|
Cybersecurity & IT
CYBER · 11 qtrs
|
$22.4B | ▼ 99.2% DECLINING | LOW (104) Ranked #6 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 118.0 from 104 events. | Spending down -99.2% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
|
Logistics & Facilities
LOGISTICS · 11 qtrs
|
$20.7B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | MODERATE (708) Ranked #5 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 528.7 from 708 events. | Moderate demand from 708 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements. |
|
Ammunition & Ordnance
AMMO · 22 qtrs
|
$19.1B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | MODERATE (1387) Ranked #3 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 1990.6 from 1387 events. | Moderate demand from 1387 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements. |
|
Air Defense Systems
AIR_DEFENSE · 11 qtrs
|
$17.5B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | MODERATE (1387) Ranked #4 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 1990.6 from 1387 events. | Moderate demand from 1387 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements. |
|
Communications & C4ISR
COMMS · 11 qtrs
|
$7.2B | ▼ 100.0% DECLINING | LOW (87) Ranked #8 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 97.0 from 87 events. | Spending down -100.0% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline. |
| Total | $428.8B | 9 categories · 2 high demand · 0 surging | ||
Conflict → Procurement Correlation
Awards Feed (DoD contracts $7.5M+)
| Title | Contractor | Amount | Agency | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELIVERY ORDER 0011 FOR 100EA 6000GALLON REFUELERS | ISOMETRICS INC | $40M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| SSC MCPNT CGACQ. BASE AWARD FOR MILCOMM & PNT ACQUISITION SUPPORT SERVICES. | OMNI CONSULTING SOLUTIONS, INC. | $10M | Federal Acquisition Service | LOGISTICS |
| P8A MISSION CONTROL AND DISPLAY SYSTEM MCDS | BAE SYSTEMS INFORMATION AND ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS INTEGRATION INC. | $8M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| IT OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE AT HILL AIR FORCE BASE HAFB UTAH | FED95 LLC | $11M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| MPTA 76 TESTING INFRASTRUCTURE MODERNIZATION | HUMAN RESOURCES RESEARCH ORGANIZATION (HUMRRO) | $14M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| READINESS REPORTING INNOVATION RRI STORMBRINGER TASK ORDER 01 | VIRTUALITICS INC | $8M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| DISASERVICESTO147QTCF26S0020 | GENERAL DYNAMICS INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, INC. | $11M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| CONTRACT AWARD FOR FAR-FORWARD BIOLOGICAL SEQUENCING INCREMENT G (FFBS-G) | SCITECH SERVICES INC | $18M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| SITE WORK, DESIGN, FABRICATION, FREIGHT, INSTALLATION, LEASE AND SUBSEQUENT DEMO | TEYA SUPPORT SERVICES LLC | $22M | Departmental Offices | LOGISTICS |
| AF MY VECTOR | BAM TECHNOLOGIES LLC | $13M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| STRATEGIC READINESS - PRISM TASK ORDER - IN SUPPORT OF OUSW-PR | DELOITTE CONSULTING LLP | $16M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| AFRL SHADOW RAPTOR | BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON INC | $152M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| TRACE 2.0 SBIR PHASE III TASK ORDER 1.THIS IS A SBIR III CONTRACT IN SUPPORT OF | TECH7 CONSULTING, LLC | $10M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| THIS IS A SBIR PHASE IIIRED6 TASK ORDER IN SUPPORT OF THE AIR FORCE, UNDER THE S | RED SIX AEROSPACE INC. | $8M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| BPA CALL ORDER ESAP 1A 1B INSTALLATION KITS | ATLANTIC DIVING SUPPLY, INC. | $78M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| FLIGHT ATTENDANT FUSELAGE TRAINER FA FUT | J.F. TAYLOR, INC. | $8M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| DISA BLOCK 2 BLOCK 3 SYSTEM MODIFICATIONS 79 | SIGMA DEFENSE SYSTEMS LLC | $32M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| ENTERPRISE INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SUPPORT SERVICES | JBW FEDITC JV LLC | $38M | Federal Acquisition Service | CYBER |
| SNC SOLE SOURCE IDIQ TO77 ARMY PEO C3 | SIERRA NEVADA COMPANY, LLC | $18M | Federal Acquisition Service | |
| PMA260 CASS FOT NI PARTS ORDER 0001 | NATIONAL INSTRUMENTS CORP | $17M | Federal Acquisition Service |
AMMO
Ammunition & OrdnanceModerate demand from 1387 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements.
Opportunities Feed (SAM.gov defense solicitations)
| Title ▲▼ | Dept | NAICS ▲▼ | Set-Aside ▲▼ | Deadline ▲▼ | Category ▲▼ | Status ▲▼ | Score ▲▼ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ | 10--PARTS KIT,SEAL REPL | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 8d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--PARTS KIT,SEAL REPL
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEAPON | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEAPON
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 19, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--HOUSING ASSY,FEEDER | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 5d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--HOUSING ASSY,FEEDER
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 27, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(5d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--BUFFER MECHANISM ASSEM | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 5d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--BUFFER MECHANISM ASSEM
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 27, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(5d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | RFQ For Duty Pistols for Mounted Patrol Inspectors | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
RFQ For Duty Pistols for Mounted Patrol Inspectors
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Texas
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--LATCH | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 2d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--LATCH
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(2d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | RFQ For Duty Pistols for Mounted Patrol Inspectors | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
RFQ For Duty Pistols for Mounted Patrol Inspectors
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Texas
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--MOUNT,MACHINE GUN | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 2d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--MOUNT,MACHINE GUN
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(2d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--MAGAZINE,CARTRIDGE | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 1d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--MAGAZINE,CARTRIDGE
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 23, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(1d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--GUIDE,CARTRIDGE,SMALL | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--GUIDE,CARTRIDGE,SMALL
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 25--CONTROL ASSEMBLY,TRANS | — | 332994 | Small Biz | 2d | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
25--CONTROL ASSEMBLY,TRANS
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(2d left)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--HOUSING,TRIGGER | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--HOUSING,TRIGGER
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--CHUTE,AMMUNITION | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 50% |
|
Full Title
10--CHUTE,AMMUNITION
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M4 Rifle Scopes Optics and Mounts | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M4 Rifle Scopes Optics and Mounts
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
New York
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M4 Sound Suppressors | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M4 Sound Suppressors
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
New York
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M82 Energetics | — | 332993 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M82 Energetics
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332993 — Ammunition Manufacturing
Location
Arkansas
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEAPON | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEAPON
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M4 Rifle Scopes Optics and Mounts | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M4 Rifle Scopes Optics and Mounts
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
New York
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 30--HOUSING,CLUTCH | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
30--HOUSING,CLUTCH
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--END FITTING EXIT HE | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--END FITTING EXIT HE
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--BARREL SET,20 MM | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--BARREL SET,20 MM
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | AXON X26P Tasers and X26P Taser Batteries | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
AXON X26P Tasers and X26P Taser Batteries
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Alabama
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--SET,EXPANDABLE PART | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--SET,EXPANDABLE PART
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 53--COUPLING,CLAMP,GROOVED | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
53--COUPLING,CLAMP,GROOVED
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 08, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | M4 Rifle and Parts (5.56x45mm NATO) | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
M4 Rifle and Parts (5.56x45mm NATO)
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
West Virginia
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--COVER,GUN MOUNT | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--COVER,GUN MOUNT
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 14, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 53--RETAINER,ROD END LO | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
53--RETAINER,ROD END LO
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 14, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 10--GUN CABLE,GAU-17A | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
10--GUN CABLE,GAU-17A
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 09, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | Modular Optical Systems | — | 332994 | Small Biz | — | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
Modular Optical Systems
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Virginia
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
Not specified
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||
| ▶ | 53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEA | — | 332994 | Small Biz | EXPIRED | AMMO | NEW | 30% |
|
Full Title
53--MOUNT,RESILIENT,WEA
Pipeline Status
NEW
NAICS
332994 — Small Arms Manufacturing
Location
Not specified
Set-Aside
Small Business (SBA)
Response Deadline
July 06, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
(expired)
Relevance Score
AI Summary
|
||||||||