GovCon Intelligence

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Procurement Context AI Analysis Jul 20 coverage

On July 20, 2026, contracting activity shows a high procurement pulse of 60/100, driven by intense demand for Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance systems with 1,468 events and Precision Guided Munitions with 1,382 events. This surge in hardware acquisition contrasts sharply with spending declines across engineering, cybersecurity, and AI sectors, which have dropped nearly 100% against baseline levels. The pattern suggests a strategic pivot toward immediate kinetic and surveillance capabilities amid 199 recorded conflict events, including 15 critical incidents.

Procurement Pulse
Procurement Pulse HIGH 60/100 Pulse 60/100: Demand breadth 100 × 0.35 + Spending alignment 0 × 0.35 + Event intensity 83 × 0.30
breadth
100 × 35%
9 of 9 categories active
alignment
0 × 35%
0 of 9 categories surging
intensity
83 × 30%
avg 1.33 weight/event

2 procurement categories at HIGH demand. Conflict events driving active signals across ISR, PGM, AMMO.

Overview
Opportunities Tracked
2852
2852 new in 90d
Awards Tracked
142
$5.0B total
MANTECH ADVANCED SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL, INC. $771M
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON INC $649M
GENERAL DYNAMICS INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, INC. $315M
Categories Tracked
9
2 high demand
Demand Analysis

Opportunity Categories by conflict demand signal

Click a slice to filter opportunities below.

Spending Surge Indicators

ENGINEERING
-99.1% DECLINING
CYBER
-99.2% DECLINING
AI_ML
-100.0% DECLINING
LOGISTICS
-100.0% DECLINING
AMMO
-100.0% DECLINING
COMMS
-100.0% DECLINING
ISR
-100.0% DECLINING
AIR_DEFENSE
-100.0% DECLINING
PGM
-100.0% DECLINING
Current quarter vs. prior quarter baseline. Click a category to filter below.
Category Intelligence

Category Intelligence (spending + trend + conflict demand)

Category Spending Trend Demand Insight
Engineering & R&D
ENGINEERING · 22 qtrs
 $134.4B ▼ 99.1% DECLINING LOW (83) Ranked #9 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 83.4 from 83 events. Spending down -99.1% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline.
Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance
ISR · 22 qtrs
 $128.3B ▼ 100.0% DECLINING HIGH (2707) Ranked #1 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 3819.6 from 2707 events. Spending contracting despite high event demand (2707 events). Divergence suggests upcoming procurement activity.
Precision Guided Munitions
PGM · 11 qtrs
 $53.2B ▼ 100.0% DECLINING HIGH (2559) Ranked #2 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 3655.5 from 2559 events. Spending contracting despite high event demand (2559 events). Divergence suggests upcoming procurement activity.
Artificial Intelligence & ML
AI_ML · 33 qtrs
 $26.0B ▼ 100.0% DECLINING LOW (181) Ranked #7 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 204.6 from 181 events. Spending down -100.0% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline.
Cybersecurity & IT
CYBER · 11 qtrs
 $22.4B ▼ 99.2% DECLINING LOW (181) Ranked #6 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 204.6 from 181 events. Spending down -99.2% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline.
Logistics & Facilities
LOGISTICS · 11 qtrs
 $20.7B ▼ 100.0% DECLINING MODERATE (1356) Ranked #5 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 1005.8 from 1356 events. Moderate demand from 1356 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements.
Ammunition & Ordnance
AMMO · 22 qtrs
 $19.1B ▼ 100.0% DECLINING MODERATE (2559) Ranked #3 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 3655.5 from 2559 events. Moderate demand from 2559 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements.
Air Defense Systems
AIR_DEFENSE · 11 qtrs
 $17.5B ▼ 100.0% DECLINING MODERATE (2559) Ranked #4 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 3655.5 from 2559 events. Moderate demand from 2559 events but spending trending down (-100.0%). Watch for contract announcements.
Communications & C4ISR
COMMS · 11 qtrs
 $7.2B ▼ 100.0% DECLINING LOW (148) Ranked #8 of 9 categories by conflict-event weighted demand. Score: 164.1 from 148 events. Spending down -100.0% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline.
Total $428.8B 9 categories · 2 high demand · 0 surging
Correlation

Conflict → Procurement Correlation

1. ISR
2707 3819.6 weighted score, avg 1.41/event HIGH
2. PGM
2559 3655.5 weighted score, avg 1.43/event HIGH
3. AMMO
2559 3655.5 weighted score, avg 1.43/event MODERATE
4. AIR_DEFENSE
2559 3655.5 weighted score, avg 1.43/event MODERATE
5. LOGISTICS
1356 1005.8 weighted score, avg 0.74/event MODERATE
6. CYBER
181 204.6 weighted score, avg 1.13/event LOW
Based on 12333 conflict events weighted by severity and type. Bars normalized to highest category.
Awards

Awards Feed (DoD contracts $7.5M+)

Title Contractor Amount Agency Category
DELIVERY ORDER 0011 FOR 100EA 6000GALLON REFUELERS ISOMETRICS INC $40M Federal Acquisition Service
SSC MCPNT CGACQ. BASE AWARD FOR MILCOMM & PNT ACQUISITION SUPPORT SERVICES. OMNI CONSULTING SOLUTIONS, INC. $10M Federal Acquisition Service LOGISTICS
P8A MISSION CONTROL AND DISPLAY SYSTEM MCDS BAE SYSTEMS INFORMATION AND ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS INTEGRATION INC. $8M Federal Acquisition Service
IT OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE AT HILL AIR FORCE BASE HAFB UTAH FED95 LLC $11M Federal Acquisition Service
BPA CALL ORDER EECU MAINSPARES KITS MAINSTREAM ENGINEERING CORP $10M Federal Acquisition Service
MPTA 76 TESTING INFRASTRUCTURE MODERNIZATION HUMAN RESOURCES RESEARCH ORGANIZATION (HUMRRO) $14M Federal Acquisition Service
READINESS REPORTING INNOVATION RRI STORMBRINGER TASK ORDER 01 VIRTUALITICS INC $8M Federal Acquisition Service
CAPE SAN JUAN FY26 MISSION OPERATION PATHWAYS 26-2 OPERATION COSTS TSI-SJN26-20 TOTE SERVICES, LLC $11M Maritime Administration
BPA CALL ORDER EALS BASE SEALITE USA, LLC $13M Federal Acquisition Service
DISASERVICESTO147QTCF26S0020 GENERAL DYNAMICS INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, INC. $11M Federal Acquisition Service
BPA CALL ORDER EALS BASE SEALITE USA, LLC $8M Federal Acquisition Service
FWPO FMS CASE GT-B-UOZ AIRCRAFT FOR GUATEMALAN MINISTRY OF DEFENSE THRUSH AIRCRAFT, LLC $12M Departmental Offices ISR
DO6 95EA LEVEL 1 AUVS THE ARMORED GROUP LLC $26M Federal Acquisition Service
AUTHORITATIVE THEATER OBJECT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM SMALL BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARC BLACK CAPE, INC. $14M Federal Acquisition Service ENGINEERING
CYBER AUTOMATION SYSTEMS TECHNOLOGY AND LIFECYCLE ENTERPRISE NETWORK (CASTLE-NET ACCENTURE FEDERAL SERVICES LLC $180M Federal Acquisition Service CYBER
CONTRACT AWARD FOR FAR-FORWARD BIOLOGICAL SEQUENCING INCREMENT G (FFBS-G) SCITECH SERVICES INC $18M Federal Acquisition Service
SITE WORK, DESIGN, FABRICATION, FREIGHT, INSTALLATION, LEASE AND SUBSEQUENT DEMO TEYA SUPPORT SERVICES LLC $22M Departmental Offices LOGISTICS
WRIGHT FY26 DRYDOCK ODI-WRT26-1006A $0.00 TASK ORDER FOR DRY DOCKING SOLICITATI OCEAN DUCHESS, INC. $8M Maritime Administration
CAPE TEXAS-TOTE SERVICES INCORPORTATED-TEXAS26-1006A-FISCAL YEAR 26 MAINTENANCE TOTE SERVICES, LLC $8M Maritime Administration
BRITTIN FISCAL YEAR (FY) 26 REPAIRS A THE PURPOSE OF THIS PROJECT IS TO ACCOMPLI KEYSTONE SHIPPING SERVICES, INC. $9M Maritime Administration

AI_ML

Artificial Intelligence & ML
← All categories
Demand Signal
LOW
181 conflict events driving demand
Spending Trend
-100.0% DECLINING
vs. prior quarter baseline
Total Spending
$26.0B
33 quarters tracked
Assessment

Spending down -100.0% with no conflict-driven demand signal. Category at baseline.

Top Contractors — AI_ML
1. WESTERN DOOR FEDERAL, LLC
1 award $18M
2. SYSTEMS INTELLIGENCE, LLC
1 award $14M
Recent Awards — AI_ML
ENTERPRISE HOSTING SERVICES SYSTEMS INTELLIGENCE, LLC
$14M Sep 15
THE UNITED STATES MILITARY ACADEMY SEEKS A CONTRACT TO PROVI WESTERN DOOR FEDERAL, LLC
$18M Sep 01
50 matching opportunities below
Opportunities

Opportunities Feed (SAM.gov defense solicitations)

All (2852) Small Biz (755) SDVOSB (135) HUBZone (6) Full & Open (1829)
States: Virginia (148) · Maryland (130) · District of Columbia (105) · California (71) · Texas (55) · Florida (50) · Alabama (45) · Georgia (35) · Massachusetts (26) · Indiana (26) + 68 more × clear
Title ▲▼ Dept NAICS ▲▼ Set-Aside ▲▼ Deadline ▲▼ Category ▲▼ Status ▲▼ Score ▲▼
▶ Next Generation (NextGen) Passport Personalization Printers Support — 541519 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Enterprise Training Software BPA — 541519 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ IDEA Data Analysis Software Acquisition — 541511 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ FMCS Azure — 541511 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ HHS AI Power User Advanced Models and Features Pilot — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ LexisNexis database — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Microsoft CoPilot License for Microsoft 365 A3 and A5 (Education and F — 541519 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ GitLab license Renewal — 541519 Small Biz — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ HHS AI Power User Advanced Models and Features Pilot — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ HHS AI Power User Advanced Models and Features Pilot — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Pre-Solicitation Notice GPO Production Environment Track and Trace Pla — 541511 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Class B and RPKI — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Microsoft Exchange Server — 541519 Small Biz — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ IHS Global Insight — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Next Generation (NextGen) Passport Personalization Printers Support — 541519 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ IDEA Data Analysis Software Acquisition — 541511 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Notification of the SEC’s Intent to Award a Single Source Purchase Ord — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Notification of the SEC’s Intent to Award a Single Source Purchase Ord — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Notification of the SEC’s Intent to Award a Single Source Purchase Ord — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Notification of the SEC’s Intent to Award a Single Source Purchase Ord — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Mortgage Prepayment Reports — 541511 Small Biz — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Notification of Intent to Award a Sole Source Purchase Order to Allium — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Notification of the SEC’s Intent to Award a Single Source Purchase Ord — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Notice of Intent to Sole Source — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Replacement Notification System — 541519 Small Biz — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Enterprise Training Software BPA — 541519 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Replacement Notification System — 541519 Small Biz — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ Pavion T1V Software and Maintenance Support Renewal — 541519 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ IES Data Repository and Restricted Use Data (DR-RUD) Program — 518210 Full & Open — AI_ML NEW 30%
▶ RENEWAL ATLASSIAN JIRA AND CONFLUENCE — 541519 Small Biz — AI_ML NEW 30%