US President Trump announces two-week mutual ceasefire with Iran

"The proposal to impose a cryptocurrency toll on the Strait of Hormuz represents an economic escalation by Iran immediately following the announcement of a mutual ceasefire (Event 9), signaling an intent to leverage strategic chokepoints despite diplomatic de-escalation efforts."

"Event 10 describes the initial announcement of the US-Iran ceasefire, which is the direct precursor to the international support and diplomatic reactions described in the new event."

"Event 12 announces a mutual ceasefire between the US and Iran. The new event represents a severe escalation by Iran, threatening to close a critical global chokepoint, which directly undermines the stability and terms of the recently announced ceasefire."

"The fire at the Lavan Island refinery occurred hours after the US-Iran ceasefire announced in Event 14, highlighting the fragility of infrastructure and potential ongoing sabotage despite the diplomatic de-escalation."

"The announcement of the two-week mutual ceasefire between the US and Iran (Event 10) established the diplomatic framework that directly enabled the subsequent agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz (New Event), transitioning from a cessation of hostilities to the restoration of economic flows."

"The announcement of the US-Iran ceasefire (Event 11) created the immediate diplomatic context and pause in hostilities that allowed the US Defense Secretary to issue the demand for uranium disclosure (New Event) as a condition for sustained de-escalation."

"Event 15 announces a mutual ceasefire between the US and Iran. The new event describes a threat of retaliation specifically citing violations of this ceasefire framework. This represents an escalation of tensions and a breakdown of the diplomatic stability established in Event 15."