STANDARD ECONOMIC UNVERIFIED

Strait of Hormuz Oil Flows Recover to 77% of Pre-Conflict Baseline

Sep 29, 2026 11:08 AM CT Strait of Hormuz, Persian Gulf energy, oil, strait-of-hormuz, economic-recovery, logistics

Summary

Oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have increased to approximately 13.2 million barrels per day, reaching 77% of pre-war levels. This recovery indicates a stabilization of energy logistics in the region ahead of planned full reopening, signaling a reduction in immediate economic disruption risks associated with the conflict.

Full Content

Hormuz oil shipments increase to almost pre-war levels ahead of plans to reopen Strait Oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have climbed to an average of about 13.2 million barrels per day over the past week, or roughly 77 percent of pre-war levels, according to tracking data from mari...

Sources (1)

T3 Middle East Eye

50% reliable Link

Actor Responses

Iran NEUTRAL

Primary state actor controlling the chokepoint; the recovery of flows suggests reduced threat to shipping lanes.

Related Events (2)

→ LED TO 85% confidence

STANDARD Houthi missile intercepted over Saudi Arabia; tanker hit off Oman

"The interception of Houthi missiles and the attack on a tanker off Oman represent the active maritime threats that disrupted oil flows; the recovery of flows to 77% indicates a mitigation or stabilization of these specific disruptions."

→ PARALLEL TO 75% confidence

STANDARD US President signals potential end to Iran conflict post-elections

"The diplomatic signal of a potential end to the Iran conflict aligns with the economic stabilization of oil logistics, both indicating a broader de-escalation trend in the region."