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STANDARD ECONOMIC UNVERIFIED

Strait of Hormuz Shipping Volumes Remain at 20% of Pre-War Levels

Aug 22, 2026 12:38 AM CT Strait of Hormuz shipping,energy,disruption,Hormuz,economic warfare

Summary

UK Maritime Trade Operations data indicates commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has not recovered, operating at approximately 20% of pre-war volumes. This sustained disruption highlights the ongoing impact of regional conflict on global energy supply chains and serves as a metric for the effectiveness of Houthi or Iranian-backed maritime interdiction efforts.

Full Content

UKMTO report says Hormuz traffic just 20 percent of pre-war levels Commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has yet to recover from the war, with new data showing traffic still running at roughly a fifth of pre-war volumes. Data from the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) show 103 ships...

Sources (1)

T3 Middle East Eye
50% reliable Link

Actor Responses

Houthis AGGRESSOR

Implied actor responsible for the maritime disruption causing reduced traffic volumes.

Related Events (3)

→ LED TO 92% confidence
STANDARD US Centcom Enforces Naval Blockade Against Iran, Redirecting 68 Vessels

"The enforcement of the naval blockade by US Centcom (Event 13) directly caused the severe reduction in shipping volumes observed in the new event. The blockade physically restricts transit, leading to the metric of 20% capacity."

→ PARALLEL TO 88% confidence
STANDARD Houthi Blockade Causes Significant Decline in Saudi Yanbu Port Tanker Traffic

"Both events describe the economic impact of maritime interdiction in the region. Event 7 details the decline in traffic at a specific Saudi port due to Houthi blockade, while the new event details the broader collapse of traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. They are parallel indicators of the same systemic disruption."

→ PARALLEL TO 85% confidence
STANDARD Oil Tankers Evading Iranian Attacks Pose Environmental and Economic Risks in Gulf

"Event 3 describes oil tankers evading attacks in the Gulf, which contributes to the overall disruption of supply chains. The new event quantifies the aggregate result of such evasion and interdiction efforts, showing that despite evasion attempts, overall volume remains critically low."