US Assesses Low Probability of Israel-Syria Normalization Amid Border Dispute
Summary
US intelligence sources indicate that normalization between Israel and the Syrian government is unlikely before the upcoming Knesset elections. The primary obstacle is the Syrian government's demand for an Israeli withdrawal from the buffer zone entered after the collapse of the Assad regime, highlighting ongoing territorial disputes in the conflict theater.
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Sources (1)
Actor Responses
Believes chances of Israel-Syria normalization are 'very slim' before Knesset elections.
Maintains presence in the buffer zone, facing demands for withdrawal.
Related Events (1)
"Event 1 notes a low probability of normalization between Israel and Syria due to border disputes. The new event, involving Israeli airstrikes in southern Syria and civilian displacement, is a direct military escalation of these existing border tensions and disputes, further cementing the lack of normalization and increasing hostility."